Luanne Traud:
Should
governments or employers mandate swine flu -- or any --
vaccination?
A little context:
In 1918, the three Blalock brothers John, Huston, and Perry aged 29, 25, and 15, respectively, lived in the small town of Bates, Arkansas (Scott County). On Thursday, October 10, John felt too ill to go to work as a forest ranger--a rare occurrence, because he had six children ages 1-10 to support. On Friday, Huston, who had three children under the age of 5, also fell ill. On that same Friday, little brother Perry was too sick to attend school.
John's oldest child, the then-ten-year-old Edna Mae, remembers her father's illness, "He was on fire with fever, delirious, pouring sweat, and coughing up more blood than you can imagine." On Wednesday, October 13, 1918, John Earl Blalock died--only three days after falling ill, in perfect health, and at the peak his manhood. Perry died three days later. Houston hung on until the 28th.
The cause of death for all three was given as hemorrhagic pneumonia, the most common cause of death associated with the 1918 pandemic of the H1N1 influenza virus, popularly referred as the "Spanish" flu. Medical historians* estimate that at least one quarter of the American population had clinically recognizable cases of flu during this time.
In less than three weeks, all the young males in the Blalock family had died; the older males and all the females were untouched. Nine children under the age of 10 became fatherless.
A little opinion:
Do I think governments and employers ought to mandate swine flu (or any) vaccination? Well, it's hard to know what "mandate" means in this context. Does it mean "strongly recommend?" Does it mean "don't look to us for sympathy or help if you skip the vaccination and get sick." Or does it mean "You'll be fined or lose your job?" I would have very different responses to each of these mandates.
Putting aside public epidemiology policy for a moment, though, folks seem to line up idiologically in the following ways:
- The threat of N1H1 is real, important, and exigent. They will take the vaccine.
- The swine (N1H1) flu warnings sounded by the Centers for Disease Control (and analogous institutions in every member-country of the G20) are examples of greed on the part of Big Pharma and/or an increasingly easily gulled public. They won't take the vaccine.
- Like General Jack D. Ripper in the movie Dr. Strangelove, some believe it is a conspiracy by an Orwellian government to "sap and impurify our precious bodily fluids." They won't take the vaccine.
- Corporeal invincibility: they believe that their own healthy bodies and/or clean living are capable of fighting off almost anything. They won't take the vaccine.
- Finally, there are those who believe that their lives are in the hands of fate (i.e., supernatural powers). They won't take the vaccine.
So, here we are: some who will dutifully follow the instructions of their government and cheerfully queue for their inoculations, and others who will refuse to do so for many reasons. What are the likely logical cases?
CASE ONE: The H1N1 virus is not as virulent as feared.
Here, all five idiologies win: aside from a few rare adverse reactions to the vaccine, we all move on. The winter of 2009-10 joins that of 1976-77 to
build the "flu panic" meme.
CASE TWO: The H1N1 virus crashes into North America with a force greater than or equal to its 1918 cousin.
Here, only idiology #1 wins; however, for #2-4 this is potentially a Darwinian Moment: Nature will statistically modify the human genome slightly, but on a large scale. Those who eschew inoculation and thereby perish from H1N1 will self-deselect based upon a single trait: the inability to perceive that the known risks of H1N1 are more dangerous than hypothetical ideologies.
Here's an illustration of this logic. Only one person ever has survived a jump from the Golden Gate bridge. After his shattered body was reassembled, he granted an interview to a local publication. The reporter asked him why he had jumped; he answered: "Problems." The reporter asked him what he thought about on the way down: "That I actually had only one problem that couldn't be solved: that I had just jumped off the Golden Gate Bridge."
Game on.
Remember the story of the Blalocks at the beginning of my post? Six years after John's death, his wife Mary Etta died. John and Mary Etta Blalock's next-to-youngest child, Janice Emmaline Blalock--fatherless at age two, and then an orphan at eight--was my mother.
Me, I'm getting the first shot of vaccine I can find. This one's for you, Ma!
*Crosby A. America's Forgotten Pandemic: The Influenza of 1918. Cambridge University Press; Cambridge: 1989.
"Mistah Kurtz - he dead."